瑞士央行副总裁马丁:今年或将进一步降息,最终可能考虑降至负利率
栏目:高端访谈 发布时间:2024-10-11

瑞士央行副总裁马丁(Antoine Martin)周四表示,瑞士央行今年可能会再次降息,理由是目前瑞士经济增长温和,通胀率较低。

  “由于瑞士的通胀率相当低,而且经济增长可以更快,这就倾向于降低政策利率,”马丁在瑞士金融分析师协会(Swiss Financial Analysts Association)于苏黎世举办的一次活动上说。

  马丁提到了瑞士央行其他官员的言论,他们在上个月表示可能会再次降息。马丁补充说:“从来没有任何承诺。”

  瑞士央行一直走在央行降息的前列,今年已三次降息,将利率降至1.0%。

  在过去的15个月里,瑞士通胀率一直保持在该行0-2%的目标范围内,瑞士央行才得以降息。而9月份物价上涨了0.8%,为三年多来的最低水平。

  马丁表示,瑞士央行最终可能会考虑将利率降至负值,这与瑞士央行总裁施莱格尔(Martin Schlegel)上周的言论不谋而合。他说,保持与其他央行的利率差是影响汇率的一个重要因素,而汇率反过来又会影响通胀。

  马丁说,尽管如此,由于目前的通胀率“稳固”地保持在目标范围内,瑞士央行的处境还算舒适。

  “在一些可以想象的情况下,我们会使用这种工具,因为它是一种特别有用的工具,”马丁在谈到负利率时说,“但我们今天并没有考虑这种情况”



Switzerland's central bank vice president Antoine Martin said on Thursday that the Switzerland central bank may cut interest rates again this year, citing the current moderate economic growth in Switzerland and low inflation.


"Because inflation in Switzerland is fairly low and economic growth can be faster, this tends to lower policy rates," Martin said at an event hosted by the Switzerland Swiss Financial Analysts Association in Zurich.


Martin referred to comments from other officials at Switzerland's central bank, who said last month that another rate cut was likely. Martin added: "There was never any commitment. ”


Switzerland's central bank has been at the forefront of central bank rate cuts, cutting rates three times this year, bringing rates down to 1.0%.


Switzerland inflation has remained within the bank's 0-2% target range for the past 15 months before the Switzerland central bank was able to cut interest rates. Prices rose 0.8% in September, the lowest level in more than three years.


Martin said the Switzerland central bank may eventually consider cutting interest rates into negative territory, echoing comments made by Switzerland central bank president Martin Schlegel last week. Maintaining interest rate differentials with other central banks is an important factor affecting the exchange rate, which in turn affects inflation, he said.


Still, Martin said, Switzerland's central bank is in a comfortable position with the current inflation rate "solidly" staying within the target range.


"In some conceivable situations, we would use this tool because it is a particularly useful tool," Martin said of negative interest rates, "but we don't think about the situation today"


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